Estimating the population of an MMO game is a daunting task, and publishers are not willing to share their numbers on these matters. The reason? I guess WoW’s population is so big, that the rest are embarrassed for their numbers.
So let’s dive in, and sort the most popular MMOs by their user base, with any and all (authority) data that is available on the subject.
World of Warcraft | ±7 Million Players
No one has managed to surpass WoW’s extreme population, ever.If you want to experience the most alive community of the past 15 years, and compete or play along with millions of other players, then there is no other choice.
The biggest source of population information on World of Warcraft, has been RealmPop.com for years. They currently report 44 million characters on US realms, and 41 million on EU realms.Be aware though, that:
- They only get data for characters that a) have posted an item in the auction house at any time, or b) have joined a guild with a member that posted an item in the auction house at any time. So there is many more characters not accounted for, but:
- Keep in mind also that RealmPop offers data on character number, and not player number (unique accounts).
Another great source for WoW population metrics, is WowProgress.com. Their numbers differ on that:
- They offer data on unique accounts, and not characters. So they can reflect the player number better.
- But, they only count accounts that have a) a 110 character that killed anything in Tier 20 Heroic Mode or b) a 110 character in a guild that killed anything in Tier 20 Heroic Mode.
The most accurate, though outdated data that has been published on WoW population, is from MMO-Champion.com.
They have been tracing the numbers that Blizzard posted with each Quarter Earnings report, and the last time these data were made available the number of active subscribers was at 7.1 million.
It’s worth noting that the peak of active accounts was with the release of Cataclysm, and 12 million active subscribers.
The Elder Scrolls Online | ±3 Million Players
It’s hard to estimate the population of ESO, or find adequate data for that matter.ESO’s director Matt Firor claimed to MMORPG.com that the game has sold 8.5 million copies as of February 2017, and also stated that this amount is evenly split in PCs and consoles. Of course, the number of total copies sold doesn’t reflect the actual active player base of the game.
Another valuable source of data for ESO, can be found on eso-database.com, where the statistics only reflect a small amount of players that use a well known mod, and there are 900K known characters (not players).
Guild Wars 2 | ±1.5 Million Players
GW2 was one of the first “wow-killers” back in the day, and it came close, for a very small time frame.
The only data we can use to estimate the active population of the game, is a reddit user’s “study” on the matter, using a simple algorithm to estimate the amount of players to 3 million. There’s no real data to back him up, he just multiplies reddit subscribers by 20. Strangely enough, applying this formula to other games, comes close to real numbers.
What’s more interesting, is that this small post, inspired inanage.com to make a much more in-depth and data-backed study on Guild Wars 2’s population, claiming than 1.5 million active players is way closer to reality.
Final Fantasy XIV | ±1 Million Players
Again, there is little data to confirm the population of FFXIV, so we will look at the most important metrics.
The FFXIVcensus.com suggests that there are 12 million characters in all the regions combined, out of which they mark 500K as active (having the “Yol” mount from 4.0).
Some other interesting numbers include the number of pre-orders for all expansions, surpassing the 650K.
Black Desert Online | ±1 Million Players
The only thing close to an official announcement, is an infographic published by Kakao games, showing close to 3 million characters in EU & US servers combined.
If we take that statement, and compare the Google interest of BDO & FFXIV, then both games sit at almost the same amount of players.
Comparing the 5 Most Populated MMO Games
The Google Trend graph below, summarizes the interest for each game in the last 5 years. Of course WoW makes the graph a bit unreadable, but you can play with the tool for yourself, and let us know in the comments for any interesting findings!